
If you have a housing loan with a floating interest rate, you can breathe easy, as rates are likely to remain steady in the near future. However, prospective loan seekers don’t have much to cheer about, because interest rates are unlikely to fall anytime soon. RBI decision to keep key policy rates unchanged in the first quarterly review of its annual policy statement is likely to keep interest rates steady in the near term.
The RBI move is good news for investors in stock market. Barring a few sectors like banking, the market is likely to remain buoyant on the back of strong foreign fund inflows.
On Tuesday, the RBI left its key rates — repo and bank rates, among others — untouched. Concerned about excess liquidity in the money market, it has hiked CRR, (money banks have to keep aside on their deposits) by 50 basis points (100 basis points=1%) to 7%. The move is likely to suck Rs 15,000 crore out of the system. It has withdrawn the cap of Rs 3,000 crore on daily reverse repo auction (purchase of securities by RBI) from August 6.
‘‘The RBI’s moves aim to pre-empt inflationary pressures that easy liquidity and low short-term rates could foster. By removing the limit on reverse repo lending, the RBI has ensured that short-term interest rates will rise sharply. However, despite the CRR hike, there will be a surplus in the system, and this should keep long-term yields in check,’’ says HDFC Bank chief Economist Abheek Barua. Short-term deposit and lending rates are likely to harden.
Fitch Ratings senior director Ananda Bhoumik believes that banks are unlikely to raise lending rates despite the CRR hike.
‘‘Banks would be loath to increase lending rates, especially in retail loans — the second largest customer segment after companies — as recent quarters have shown rising interest rates affecting the consumers’ repayment capacity with corresponding increase in delinquencies.’’
Labels: Home Loan, Rates
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